Bright Outlooks : China Adoption Referral Forecasts
-- Caution : "All models are wrong, some are useful" (Box)

Raw data was initially obtained from FTIA's website and later augmented through our own observations. It is included below with some additional calculations on waiting times:

Referral's Received	Last LID	Total Waiting Time (months)
2/21/03	1/30/02	12.9
3/31/03	3/26/02	12.3
6/26/2003	5/29/02	13.1
7/3/2003	7/22/02	11.5
8/4/2003	9/30/02	10.3
9/8/2003	11/26/02	9.5
10/1/2003	1/30/03	8.1
11/18/2003	3/25/03	7.9
12/31/2003	4/23/03	8.4
1/22/2004	5/30/03	7.9
3/10/2004	7/13/03	8.0
4/9/2004	8/26/03	7.6
5/3/2004	10/15/03	6.7
6/7/2004	11/19/03	6.7
7/14/2004	12/17/03	7.0
8/2/2004	2/18/04	5.5
9/7/2004	3/30/04	5.4
10/15/2004	4/28/04	5.7
11/8/2004	5/26/04	5.5
12/10/2004	6/23/04	5.7
1/6/2005	7/23/04	5.6
1/31/2005	8/19/04	5.5
3/17/2005	9/16/04	6.1
4/18/05	10/19/04	6.0
5/23/05	11/11/04	6.4
6/24/05	12/13/04	6.4
7/28/05	1/27/05	6.1
9/1/05	2/24/05	6.3
10/3/05	3/16/05	6.7
11/15/05	3/30/05	7.7
12/8/05	4/15/05	7.9
1/5/06	4/25/05	8.5
1/25/06	5/13/05	8.6
2/27/06	5/25/05	9.3
3/27/06	5/30/05	10.0
4/25/06	6/6/05	10.8
5/25/06	6/15/05	11.5
6/22/06	6/28/05	12.0
7/26/06	7/13/05	12.6
8/23/06	7/22/05	13.2
9/25/06	8/9/05	13.7
11/2/06	8/25/05	14.5
11/30/06	9/8/05	15.0
1/3/07	9/28/05	15.4
2/1/07	10/13/05	15.9
3/7/07	10/24/05	16.6
4/9/07	10/26/05	17.7
4/30/07	11/1/05	18.2
6/6/07	11/7/05	19.2
7/5/07	11/14/05	19.9
8/3/07	11/21/05	20.6
9/3/07	11/25/05	21.6
10/2/07	11/30/05	22.4
11/5/07	12/8/05	23.2
12/6/07	12/14/05	24.1
1/2/08	12/19/05	24.8
2/4/08	12/27/05	25.6
3/5/08	1/4/06	26.4
4/7/08	1/9/06	27.3
5/2/08	1/12/06	28.0
6/11/08	1/20/06	29.1
7/7/08	1/25/06	29.8
8/12/08	1/31/06	30.8
9/3/08	2/9/06	31.2
9/30/08	2/15/06	31.9
11/5/08	2/17/06	33.1